08.07 森林火灾模拟

森林火灾模拟

之前我们已经构建好了一些基础,但是还没有开始对火灾进行模拟。

随机生长

  • 在原来的基础上,我们要先让树生长,即定义 grow_trees() 方法
  • 定义方法之前,我们要先指定两个属性:
    • 每个位置随机生长出树木的概率
    • 每个位置随机被闪电击中的概率
  • 为了方便,我们定义一个辅助函数来生成随机 bool 矩阵,大小与森林大小一致
  • 按照给定的生长概率生成生长的位置,将 trees 中相应位置设为 True
 1import numpy as np
 2
 3class Forest(object):
 4    """ Forest can grow trees which eventually die."""
 5    def __init__(self, size=(150,150), p_sapling=0.0025, p_lightning=5.0e-6):
 6        self.size = size
 7        self.trees = np.zeros(self.size, dtype=bool)
 8        self.fires = np.zeros((self.size), dtype=bool)
 9        self.p_sapling = p_sapling
10        self.p_lightning = p_lightning
11        
12    def __repr__(self):
13        my_repr = "{}(size={})".format(self.__class__.__name__, self.size)
14        return my_repr
15    
16    def __str__(self):
17        return self.__class__.__name__
18    
19    @property
20    def num_cells(self):
21        """Number of cells available for growing trees"""
22        return np.prod(self.size)
23    
24    @property
25    def tree_fraction(self):
26        """
27        Fraction of trees
28        """
29        num_trees = self.trees.sum()
30        return float(num_trees) / self.num_cells
31    
32    @property
33    def fire_fraction(self):
34        """
35        Fraction of fires
36        """
37        num_fires = self.fires.sum()
38        return float(num_fires) / self.num_cells
39    
40    def _rand_bool(self, p):
41        """
42        Random boolean distributed according to p, less than p will be True
43        """
44        return np.random.uniform(size=self.trees.shape) < p
45    
46    def grow_trees(self):
47        """
48        Growing trees.
49        """
50        growth_sites = self._rand_bool(self.p_sapling)
51        self.trees[growth_sites] = True

测试:

1forest = Forest()
2print forest.tree_fraction
3
4forest.grow_trees()
5print forest.tree_fraction
0.0
0.00293333333333

火灾模拟

  • 定义 start_fires()
    • 按照给定的概率生成被闪电击中的位置
    • 如果闪电击中的位置有树,那么将其设为着火点
  • 定义 burn_trees()
    • 如果一棵树的上下左右有火,那么这棵树也会着火
  • 定义 advance_one_step()
    • 进行一次生长,起火,燃烧
 1import numpy as np
 2
 3class Forest(object):
 4    """ Forest can grow trees which eventually die."""
 5    def __init__(self, size=(150,150), p_sapling=0.0025, p_lightning=5.0e-6):
 6        self.size = size
 7        self.trees = np.zeros(self.size, dtype=bool)
 8        self.fires = np.zeros((self.size), dtype=bool)
 9        self.p_sapling = p_sapling
10        self.p_lightning = p_lightning
11        
12    def __repr__(self):
13        my_repr = "{}(size={})".format(self.__class__.__name__, self.size)
14        return my_repr
15    
16    def __str__(self):
17        return self.__class__.__name__
18    
19    @property
20    def num_cells(self):
21        """Number of cells available for growing trees"""
22        return np.prod(self.size)
23    
24    @property
25    def tree_fraction(self):
26        """
27        Fraction of trees
28        """
29        num_trees = self.trees.sum()
30        return float(num_trees) / self.num_cells
31    
32    @property
33    def fire_fraction(self):
34        """
35        Fraction of fires
36        """
37        num_fires = self.fires.sum()
38        return float(num_fires) / self.num_cells
39    
40    def _rand_bool(self, p):
41        """
42        Random boolean distributed according to p, less than p will be True
43        """
44        return np.random.uniform(size=self.trees.shape) < p
45    
46    def grow_trees(self):
47        """
48        Growing trees.
49        """
50        growth_sites = self._rand_bool(self.p_sapling)
51        self.trees[growth_sites] = True
52        
53    def start_fires(self):
54        """
55        Start of fire.
56        """
57        lightning_strikes = (self._rand_bool(self.p_lightning) & 
58            self.trees)
59        self.fires[lightning_strikes] = True
60    
61    def burn_trees(self):
62        """
63        Burn trees.
64        """
65        fires = np.zeros((self.size[0] + 2, self.size[1] + 2), dtype=bool)
66        fires[1:-1, 1:-1] = self.fires
67        north = fires[:-2, 1:-1]
68        south = fires[2:, 1:-1]
69        east = fires[1:-1, :-2]
70        west = fires[1:-1, 2:]
71        new_fires = (north | south | east | west) & self.trees
72        self.trees[self.fires] = False
73        self.fires = new_fires
74        
75    def advance_one_step(self):
76        """
77        Advance one step
78        """
79        self.grow_trees()
80        self.start_fires()
81        self.burn_trees()
1forest = Forest()
2
3for i in range(100):
4    forest.advance_one_step()

使用 matshow() 显示树木图像:

1import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
2from matplotlib import cm
3
4%matplotlib inline
5
6plt.matshow(forest.trees, cmap=cm.Greens)
7
8plt.show()

png

查看不同着火概率下的森林覆盖率趋势变化:

 1forest = Forest()
 2forest2 = Forest(p_lightning=5e-4)
 3
 4tree_fractions = []
 5
 6for i in range(2500):
 7    forest.advance_one_step()
 8    forest2.advance_one_step()
 9    tree_fractions.append((forest.tree_fraction, forest2.tree_fraction))
10
11plt.plot(tree_fractions)
12
13plt.show()

png